Will voter turnout be higher than the last local elections?

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What the world believes

How this resolves

Closes: 23:59 SAST on 3 November 2026
Resolves: When the IEC publishes the national turnout for the 2026 local elections, usually within a week of 4 November.
Source: Electoral Commission of South Africa (IEC), national voter turnout report
Rules: Resolves YES if the IEC's official national voter turnout for the 4 November 2026 local government elections is higher than 45.86%, the IEC's official national turnout for the 2021 local government elections. Both figures are the IEC's own turnout percentage of registered voters, as published in its national voter turnout report. Otherwise NO. Exactly 45.86% resolves NO.
If the source is down: If the IEC results site is unavailable, the national turnout figure in the IEC's official results declaration or press statement is used.
If plans change: Void if the election is postponed beyond 31 January 2027. If voting in some municipalities is postponed, the national figure the IEC publishes for the 4 November elections is used as it stands.